Why Mourinho’s Inter won’t win Serie A next season
Sorry Jose, looks like it’s the other San Siro team’s turn
Predicting the outcome of Serie A presents one of life’s more difficult challenges: the success/failure of teams must always factor in the degree of cheating/bribery/corruption in which they will partake. Though the league table may well be turned on its head come June because a player/manager/official/entire team has tried to fix matches, here’s what will happen…probably.
» Inter Milan secured their third successive Serie A title last season. Should they triumph this season, they will become the first team since Torino FC in 1945-49 to win the Italian league four years in a row.
» AC Milan have now gone four years without securing the Serie A title. They have not experienced a winless run of five or more seasons since before 1988.
» Chievo finished seventh in the pre-corruption standings in 2005/06 and finished 18th the following season. Empoli ended the 2006/07 season in seventh and were also relegated in 18th place the very next campaign. Udinese finished seventh last season – could they fall through the trapdoor this year?
» AS Roma have finished second in Serie A in five of the last seven seasons, including 2007/08. In the last ten years, only two runners up have gone on to win the league title the following season.
» In the last ten Serie A campaigns, only two sides that have finished third have ended up topping the table the next year. That doesn’t bode well for Juventus.
» And in the last two seasons, all three promoted clubs have managed to retain their status in Serie A, with at least one of the promoted trio finishing in the top ten. That’s good news for Bolgona, Verona and Lecce.
» The top scorer in Serie A very rarely comes from the championship winning team. In only two of the last ten seasons has the leading scorer played for the eventual winners.