UEFA Cup Preview

Hamburg’s strong home form isn’t good news for Man City

Hamburg/Man City, UEFA Cup Qtr-Final 1st Leg, 7.45pm, ITV4

Martin Jol

Martin Jol’s Hamburg are available at 11/10 with Boylesports to win the home leg of their UEFA Cup quarter-final clash with Manchester City. A glance at their home record suggests that those odds are very generous, say chickendinner:» Hamburg have played 21 matches at the HSH Nordbank Arena, winning 16 of those, drawing three and losing just two.

» In contrast, Manchester City have won just one of their last 19 on the road, drawing seven and losing 11 of those games.

» Only five of the last 14 English UEFA Cup quarter-finalists have progressed through to the final four. Even more significantly, only one won the away leg, with nine losing it.

» Manchester City have lost each of their last four away games, failing to score in any of them.

» Hamburg have already faced Premier League opposition once this season and on that occasion they brushed aside Aston Villa 3-1.

Any other business

» Just one of Manchester City’s last eight away games, and two of Hamburg’s last eight home games, have finished with over 2.5 goals. Under 2.5 goals is 147/200 with Bet365.

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