Why Warnock leaving wouldn’t help QPR survive
QPR should stick with the man who got them promotion…
While fans of most are crying out for big signings and big spending this summer, QPR fans will just be hoping that Neil Warnock stays to lead them into the Premier League.
Last season, newly-promoted sides Newcastle United and West Bromwich Albion both parted company with the manager that guided them to the Premier League and ultimately survived to spend a second season in the top-flight.
But their survival following the appointment of a new boss is the exception rather than the rule…
Since the dawn of the Premier League back in 1992 there have only been ten teams who, during their first season in the top-tier, parted company with the manager who won them promotion – and only three of them survived the drop.
Last season Mike Ashley made Chris Hughton the first managerial casualty of the season by replacing him with Alan Pardew in early December. It ultimately proved to be a wise move by the controversial owner as Pardew guided the Magpies to a 12th place finish.
Roberto Di Matteo was also replaced at West Bromwich Albion by Roy Hodgson who took the Baggies to 11th.
Prior to these two, only one promoted team had ever stayed up after appointing a new manager during the subsequent season. That was also West Brom, who released Gary Megson in November 2004 and replaced him with Bryan Robson. The Baggies stayed up on the last day of the season after a 2-0 win against Portsmouth.
Of the other seven teams who parted company with their managers after promotion, two of them saw managers leave of their own accord. Brian Little left Leicester for Aston Villa in 1994, while Owen Coyle went to Bolton from Burnley in January 2010. The remaining five managers were all sacked in pursuit of better results.
Getting rid of a manager early in the season doesn’t seem to have much of an effect on survival chances either.
Derby County got rid of two managers – Roy McFarland in 1996 and Billy Davies in 2007 – with at least five months of the season left and they still went straight back down to the second-tier. Meanwhile, Hodgson only went to West Brom in February last season and kept them up.
The QPR board should definitely think twice if they reckon getting rid of Warnock will improve their survival chances…