Birmingham best equipped to bounce back despite turmoil
The percentage of occasions since 1945 in which a relegated club has gone straight back up at the first attempt…
Birmingham have had to deal with their manager leaving to take charge of their biggest rivals, their owner facing five charges of money laundering and significant interest in their star players, but an instant return to the Premier League isn’t unthinkable.
Of all ten clubs relegated from the Premier League, Championship and League One in 2010-11, they have comfortably the strongest record when it comes to fighting back from such a low, returning on 56% of the occasions that they have gone down since 1945.
As the chart above shows, none of the other teams bidding to recover from such a blow have anywhere near as encouraging form, with Sheffield United the only other side to have gone straight back up more than once in the period in question.
Those with the least experience to draw upon are Dagenham and Redbridge and Bristol Rovers, as never since 1945 have they won promotion the following season, having had one and four brushes with the dreaded drop respectively.
Odds as big as 4/1 are available if you shop around on Birmingham regaining top-flight status at the first attempt, a decent price given the arrival of Chris Hughton, who completed a similar turnaround at Newcastle, and acting chairman Peter Pannu’s vow that he would have the final say on transfers.