BOUNCEBACKABILITY

Birmingham best equipped to bounce back despite turmoil

The percentage of occasions since 1945 in which a relegated club has gone straight back up at the first attempt…

Occasions in which relegated clubs have bounced back since 1945 (%)

Birmingham have had to deal with their manager leaving to take charge of their biggest rivals, their owner facing five charges of money laundering and significant interest in their star players, but an instant return to the Premier League isn’t unthinkable.

Of all ten clubs relegated from the Premier League, Championship and League One in 2010-11, they have comfortably the strongest record when it comes to fighting back from such a low, returning on 56% of the occasions that they have gone down since 1945.

As the chart above shows, none of the other teams bidding to recover from such a blow have anywhere near as encouraging form, with Sheffield United the only other side to have gone straight back up more than once in the period in question.

Those with the least experience to draw upon are Dagenham and Redbridge and Bristol Rovers, as never since 1945 have they won promotion the following season, having had one and four brushes with the dreaded drop respectively.

Odds as big as 4/1 are available if you shop around on Birmingham regaining top-flight status at the first attempt, a decent price given the arrival of Chris Hughton, who completed a similar turnaround at Newcastle, and acting chairman Peter Pannu’s vow that he would have the final say on transfers.


4 responses so far
  • Dale // July 7, 2011 at 4:19 pm

    I don’t know if it’s just that The Spoiler has only just figured out how to use excel, but can you please stop with all the graphs and chart graphics. This is meant to be a blokey football website, not science quarterly, statistics and how good a team are on paper by enlarge mean nothing in football, any england fan knows that, so stop pushing this crap down our throats. Sort it out, please.

  • Adam // July 7, 2011 at 8:55 pm

    Thank you Dale…this is decently different enough from standard football websites but not what we have come to love this website for.

    The tone here was unmatched, now its dry and uninteresting.

  • Voice of reason // July 8, 2011 at 12:59 pm

    You also got a mention on george lambs talksport show the other night saying what a funny website it was with the look a like posts, bet everyone who turns up via that wont be staying long when they see that every other story is a chart or graph!

  • true blue // September 15, 2011 at 12:05 pm

    This article shows how difficult the job PPan is facing in handling the club. It appears he had done a good job having to deal with judas Mac’s departure, having to bring villa to their knees and get good money off villa for the flee. Brought in a good manager and now having to deal with no money from the owners in HK but yet keeping the team strong and making sure we are not relegated. Dont know why people can appreciate this- who brought Hughton in is a good starting point for critics.

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