Liverpool/ Atletico Madrid, 7.45pm, ITV1, Free £10 bet

Two weeks ago, the betting gurus at chickendinner boldly stated that Liverpool wouldn’t return from Spain with three points - as their prediction came true, the Reds are still tied with Atletico Madrid at the top of the group. However, a win tonight will all but ensure qualification to the knockout stages. Here’s why the Dinner think they won’t slip up:

1. Liverpool haven’t lost consecutive games in 2008 and have only done so once in the last eighteen months.

2. The Reds have yet to lose at Anfield in the Premier League or Champions League in 2008, with their solitary loss there coming against Barnsley in the FA Cup.

3. Rafael Benitez’s side won all three games in the second-half of the group stage last year, despite winning none of the first three.

4. It was at this point in last year’s campaign that, having fallen to a 2-1 defeat a fortnight beforehand in Turkey, Liverpool thumped Besiktas 8-0 in the return tie.

5. Atletico Madrid are on a four-match unbeaten run but haven’t gone five games without defeat in ten months. They have won lost half of their league and European away games this season.

More useful betting information

» Despite having only one half-time/full-time win to their name in the league this season, four of Liverpool’s last five Champions League group stage victories, including both this year, have come in this manner. Betfair offer 1.66/1 on this happening.

» Robbie Keane has scored in Liverpool’s last two Champions League games and can be backed at 5/1 with Ladbrokes to score the first goal. It might be worth waiting for the teamsheet though in case Fernando Torres returns as a lone striker.

Super special Spoiler reader offer: Having a punt on any of tonight’s games? Get £10 of free no-strings-attached bets from Paddy Power right here. You’re welcome.