Germany/ England, 7.45pm, ITV1, Free £10 bet

With ten players ruled out through injury and David Beckham missing because of a lack of match fitness, England have a convenient excuse lined up should it all go wrong tonight in Berlin. However, in the past, the away team has had the advantage in these encounters, so Fabio Capello will be hoping that trend plays in his favour tonight

Here are some reasons why England will steal a result tonight, courtesy of the handsome devils at chickendinner:

» England have never lost in Berlin - winning four and drawing three of their games against West Germany and unified Germany.

» And the Three Lions last trip to Germany was in the 2002 World Cup qualifiers when England historically won 4-2.

» Likewise, Germany perform better away from home against England, going unbeaten on their last five trips to London with four wins and a penalty shoot-out victory in the other, proving that if anything it’s more a case of home disadvantage than advantage when England meet Germany.

» Both Ireland and Wales managed to hold Germany to goalless draws in the last three months of 2007, although Germany did record a 1-0 home win over Wales last month.

» Excluding the 2006 World Cup, Germany’s last two matches in Berlin finished 1-1, which can be backed at 11/2 with Boylesports and Bet365. This was also the full-time score in Germany’s quarter-final penalty-shootout triumph over Argentina in 2006, which was held in Berlin.

» England have lost just one of six friendlies since their home defeat to Germany last year and that was a 1-0 defeat in France courtesy of a Nicolas Anelka penalty.

» Nine of England’s last ten friendlies away to European opposition have contained under 2.5 goals, which is available at 4/5 with Paddy Power and Bet365.

For more football betting advice, check out the new look chickendinner