Newcastle/Middlesbrough, Premier League, 8pm, Setanta Sports 1

Unless West Brom do the unthinkable, there will be no Great Escape this season: if either Newcastle or Middlesbrough survive it won’t be because of a remarkable turnaround or inspirational management, it will be thanks to Hull’s recent ineptitude, and a scrappy win or two.

The stats suggest that neither Alan Shearer nor Gareth Southgate will get the three points they desperately need in tonight’s Tyne-Tees derby, with Hull looking like the most likely winners. Our friends at chickendinner provide five reasons why a draw is on the cards:

1. The last four meetings between Newcastle and Middlesbrough at St James’ Park have finished level.

2. In total, seven of the last nine clashes between the two sides have been drawn, including